ET (TNT). More importantly, Young is healthy, motivated, and playing at home, where he scored 30+ points 21 times during the regular season. Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWires official sportsbook partner in OH, CO and NJ. Miami currently has seven players listed on their injury report. Count on him going Over 26.5 points on Friday night, even if it takes 25 shots to get there. LEANto theOVER 220.5 (-115)for a one-third unit if at all, because Miamis point spread is my favorite wager in this game. SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 222 combined points. If Atlanta can shoot a little better than it did Wednesday, then this Over will cash. Remember, DimersBOT updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting insights before Heat vs. Hawks on Monday January 16, 2023. The 1.5-point spread really comes down to home-court advantage, and while returning to the Peach State will likely nudge the total upwards, it wont result in an Atlanta win. But, he is now off the injury report. Atlanta is 9-13 overall on the road (8-14 ATS) with the 19th-ranked adjusted net rating at minus-3.4, according to CleaningTheGlass.com. Moreover, the Heats projected starting lineup consists of PG Dru Smith, SG Javonte Smart, SF Caleb Martin, PF Max Strus and C Micah Potter. I think this team has been underrated in the market as the No. However, when you peel back the narratives it becomes more complicated. Bet now! 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. NFL Fantasy Football Rankings, Sleepers and Analysis, USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub, Colorado at Oregon odds, picks and predictions, CFP National Championship Game: TCU vs. Georgia odds, picks and predictions, 2023 CFP National Championship: TCU vs. Georgia prop bet picks and predictions, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. PLAY: Free, daily sports pickem contests. A $100 bettor would be up $5,062, a ROI of +15 percent. Atlanta is 19-7-1 against the spread and 21-6 overall when it allows fewer than 113.6 points. Keep in mind, once again, these trends do not include exhibition games. Find out in our free NBA picks and predictions for Heat vs. Hawks. P.J. As for the Hawks, the total has gone under in seven of the teams past nine games. The Heat have lots of injuries, the Hawks are healthy, Atlanta should be able to win this one. Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wires official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and, soon, IA. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event. Atlanta is in trouble, as it has one of the worst rebound rates in the entire NBA (48.1%). Disclaimer: All of the information on this site is for entertainment purposes only. Pictured: Max Strus (31), Tyler Herro (14), and Duncan Robinson (55) of the Miami Heat. Miami has repeatedly beaten Atlanta in the trenches, at the line, in the open court, and on the perimeter. Pick the Hawks to win at home; the total will go over 212. Before you make any Hawks vs. Heat picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine. BETtheHEAT -4.5 (-120) for 1 unit because I see this one playing out the same way as Wednesdays Hawks-Heat meeting in Atlanta. and make a Heat-Hawks prediction and pick. Heat: None.Hawks: Lou Williams G (Questionable), Clint Capela C (Out).Find our latest NBA injury reports. Both teams have competent defenses, and the Under has been hot for each recently. 6-keys: media/spln/nba/reg/free/stories, By pressing sign up, I confirm that I have read and agree to the. The Hawks only have one player, Lou Williams, listed on their injury report, so they will have a pretty full squad of players available tonight in Miami. Jimmy Butler is expected to step up for the Heat with 23 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists, while Trae Young is projected to finish with 26 points, 2 rebounds and 10 assists for the Hawks. Get up-to-the-minute NBA odds here. The Heat fell to the Hornets 108-103 on the road on Saturday and failed to cover as 6.5-point favorites. The Hawks will need to step things up on Wednesday if they want to take down the Heat. The Wildcats are also currently 22/1 at BetMGM but can now be bought at 40/1 at both Caesars and FanDuel. With its center Clint Capela still sidelined, its fair to question how it can keep Adebayo from crashing the boards. Heat vs Hawks Prediction | NBA Picks. The Atlanta Hawks face the Miami Heat in a game they need to improve their standing in the Play-In Tournament. The Heat are defense-first team that is still dealing with many injuries. Its also why taking the Over on the projected 220.5-point total is the biggest no-brainer of the night. The Hawks have been terrible on the road this season. For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report. ET. Wright is known as one of the best coaches in the game. If they can play with as much intensity in the regular season as they have during the preseason, the team will be one of the top contenders in the Eastern Conference. Miami has covered 4 of its last 5 games and is 18-24-2 against the spread (ATS) on the season. Not only did the Hawks average 5.5 more points per game at home than on the road this season, but they also topped 118 points in five of their six final home games to close out the 2021-22 campaign. More: Heat vs. Hawks Simulated 10,000 Times. Deposit $200, Get Sports Scores and Odds Hub The Hawks projected starting lineup is PG Trae Young, SG Bogdan Bogdanovic, SF Cam Reddish, PF John Collins and C Gorgui Dieng. Miami outshot Atlanta from everywhere on the floor and won three of the four factors as the Heat outscored the Hawks in three of the four quarters. Every team is dealing with injuries, but for the most part, the Hawks have their key players available for Wednesdays game. The Heat might just be the square side here. While COVID and injuries arent as big a concern as they used to be for the Hawks, this team is still affected. The Heat are 24-20 overall and 10-11 on the road this season, including a win earlier this season in Atlanta. 1 in net . We know Miami has a solid defense currently ranking fourth in the NBA in but does Atlanta have enough actually to cover the spread against a formidable defensive unit? Miami had, after all, just beaten Atlanta by 10 points in a physical game tailor-made for the rough and ready Heat. After a challenging first few months of the season, the Miami Heat have found their rhythm, securing victories in seven of their last 10 games. The Heat beat the visiting Milwaukee Bucks 111-95 Saturday, covering as 4-point favorites. Atlanta struggles on the glass, on the interior and in pick-and-roll action without Capela in the lineup. Alternatively, if Strus odds pop up before game time, take him to go over his point total, with value up to Over 14.5 points, or over his 3-point makes, with value up to over 2.5 makes. Awesome. Miami is giving up 110.9 points per 100 possessions this season, and the Heat lead the NBA in points allowed in the paint (44.1 per game). Now, the model has set its sights on Heat vs. Hawks, and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. Lets make this interesting. Thats the bottom line. Collins also ended his performance with 12 rebounds in 25 minutes spent on the court. With six covers in eight tries against Atlanta this season, Miami certainly has the potential to not only close out the Hawks but also cover the spread. Tip-off at the FTX Arena is scheduled for 8 p.m. Regardless of whom the Heat trot out on the court, they will need to hit their open 3s against a Heat defense that loves to scramble and switch to prevent looks at the rim but is susceptible to flurries from beyond the arc. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Call the National Council on Problem Gambling 24/7 at 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, OH), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN). But the market reflects a huge gap between these two teams and we basically have three straight halves where the Hawks have hung in, with the series headed to Atlanta where the Hawks have been way better. The information we provide is accurate and trustworthy to help you make better decisions. They shot 33-for-85 (38.8%) from the floor and 12-for-30 (40%) from behind the arc. And Cs futures.) The Miami Heat (24-20) battle the Atlanta Hawks (21-22) Monday. Miamis team has strung together some impressive victories, while Atlanta has struggled. James is a Basketball Insiders contributor. Furthermore, the Heat scored 104 points versus the Hornets, while the Hawks finished with 91 points against the Grizzlies. And, the team is 1-4 SU in their last five games played against Eastern Conference opponents. Across all six major sports (NFL, CFB, NBA, CBB, NHL, MLB), Villanova is the most profitable betting team over the last decade: 196-133-9 ATS (59.6 percent). (And Bucks futures. They just wont look like the better team. Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. The Wizards are also just a game ahead of the Bulls for the No . In that game, no player on the Hawks scored more than 19 points, and only four players scored in the double digits. Sports Betting Legality Map Wright was the head coach at Hofstra from 1994 to 2001 before taking over at Villanova ahead of the 2001-02 season. Atlantas dominance at home is, without question, the No. Copyright USA TODAY Sportsbook Wire 2023. Neptune spent seven seasons on Wrights staff at Villanova before taking over as the head coach of Fordham last year. But I think Atlanta can make this a series; Miamis ceiling isnt high enough for it to get clear separation and weve seen that in the first two games. Miami's defense has actually faced the second-lowest pick-and-roll frequency in the NBA so it will be interesting to see how they hold up against this Hawks team that ranks No. However, even though Trae Young & Co. may not advance to the second round, they can still make things interesting on Friday night when they return to the friendly confines of State Farm Arena. Facebook. The Over/Under is currently set at 223.5. Atlanta is also 13-7 in the teams last 20 games played. Odds updated Thursday at 3:30 AM ET. However, the biggest battle for the Heat isnt their opponent. While they are not listed on the injury report, I wouldnt be too surprised to see the Heat pull Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo or Kyle Lowry before the opening tip, so if you want to back the Heat, be sure they are playing first. Embiid is second in the league averaging 33.0 points per game. Clint Capela (calf) is questionable for Atlanta, with Trae Young (shoulder) listed as probable. ATL: The Hawks are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games following a straight-up defeat. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. Odds updated Thursday at 3:30 AM ET. The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 223 with DraftKings Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, while PointsBet currently has the best odds for the Under at -110. These two teams have had somewhat different starts to the season. The Heat have the second-best 3-point percentage and the Hawks are 21st in defensive 3-point percentage. The Grizzlies are usually one of the more challenging teams to defeat at home. Both teams also rank 24th and 25th in true shooting percentage, so coupled with Miamis 28th ranking in pace, back the UNDER 224.5 (-110). CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: nba | pageType: stories | Tucker is out, and the following players are all listed as questionable: Gabe Vincent, Dewayne Dedmon, Omer Yurtseven, Caleb Martin, Haywood Highsmith and Markieff Morris. In the second game, it takes Jimmy Butler having a career night with 45 points, including four made 3s for a guy who doesnt shoot them, and an 0-of-6 night from Danilo Gallinari for the Heat to just press enough to cover the spread. For the Heat, they have 11 players out for tonights preseason game. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Dimers has full betting coverage of Monday's Heat-Hawks matchup, including pregame predictions, top betting picks, and live win probabilities. The Miami Heat (24-20) battle the Atlanta Hawks (21-22) Monday. The top-seeded Miami Heat welcome the Atlanta Hawks to FTX Arena for Game 1 of a first round tilt on Sunday. The Heat are the better team and theyll win this series. The Hawks will be down a player of their own on Friday night, as center Clint Capela will miss his third straight game with a hyperextended knee. Coach K was 75 when he retired and Williams was 70. Far from it, in fact. The Washington Wizards (29-32) play the Toronto Raptors (31-32) on Thursday, March 2, 2023 at Capital One Arena. The NBA regular season continues with games on Wednesday. Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. It was the second double-digit win in as many outings, although oddsmakers are clearly expecting a more competitive affair this time around as the Heat opened as narrow -2.5-point favorites. Strus has been a key part of the Heats recent surge since that four-game losing streak as he was inserted into the starting five for Duncan Robinson, and the Heat have won five in a row since. NBA picks and predictions for the Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks on April 23. The Heat have come out shorthanded and had their backups step up at home several times this season, so I wouldnt want to bet against them for more than a half unit here. Sign Up Now, *Eligible USA locations only. Miami won the first two games in Miami and then earned a split in Atlanta to bring the series back home with a 3-1 edge as Game 5 approaches. Heading into tonights preseason matchup, in the previous three head-to-head meetings, the Hawks are 2-1 versus the Heat. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets. As of Thursday, the Heat have clinched the top seed in the Eastern Conference, and consequently, the Heat have listed quite a few players on their injury report for Friday as it is unclear how many players they will rest. The Raptors are favored by only 1.5 points against the Wizards.Raptors vs. Wizards Betting OddsOdds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.Spread: Toronto -1.5Moneyline: Toronto -117, Washington -103Catch the excitement and bet with Tipico!Double Down, Ohio! Dimers.com's predicted final score for Miami vs. Atlanta at State Farm Arena this Monday has the Hawks winning 112-111. Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA). BOTTOM LINE: Portland visits the Atlanta Hawks after Damian Lillard scored 41 points in the Trail Blazers' 121-110 loss to the New Orleans Pelicans. You can only see the model's Heat vs. Hawks picks at SportsLine. Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. Atlanta really needs their stars to step up if they want to start winning games. The Heat actually caught fire in that game and dominated the Suns. Look for them tonight as I keep that impressive play alive against a below-average Atlanta Hawks team. The Heat, who were 2.5-point underdogs, clobbered the Hawks 115-91 in Atlanta in the opener of their back-to-back Wednesday. see the NBA playoff 2022 predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer model, head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks, You can only see the model's Heat vs. Hawks picks at SportsLine, Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, 76ers' Tucker admits he didn't want to leave the Heat, Suns' Durant Era feels like the start of a special run, Durant begins Suns era with masterful two-way sequence, Warriors have climbed standings without Steph Curry, Knicks vs. Nets odds, picks, prediction, bets, Celtics vs. Cavaliers odds, picks, prediction, bets, Hawks vs. Heat over-under total: 215.5 points, Hawks vs. Heat money line: Miami -190, Atlanta +160. Click or tap on See Matchup for more. Odds via BetMGM. On Monday, in the Heats 104-103 home victory over the Hornets, center Bam Adebayo led the team in scoring, putting up 18 points, 5.0 rebounds and 1.0 assist in 26 minutes played. Did you know our NBA Betting News page has a detailed betting preview for every NBA game as soon as the sportsbooks release their odds? So in spite of the Hawks maybe having a better team on paper, pick the Heat in this one. The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. Check out the best sports betting offers in your state. Atlanta also has a good defense, ranking 14th in opponents field goal percentage (47%) and 4th in opponents 3-point field goal percentage (34.2%). Lines last updated at 5:55 a.m. No team has been hotter at home over the past three months than the Hawks, who have won 20 of their past 23 games in Atlanta dating back to January 17. section: | slug: heat-vs-hawks-prediction-odds-line-spread-2023-nba-picks-mlk-day-best-bets-from-proven-model | sport: basketball | route: article_single.us | Lets be perfectly clear: the modest point spread isnt because the Hawks suddenly unlocked a new gear or found a chink in Miamis armor. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 60% of simulations. Down 0-2 to Miami in its best-of-seven first-round series, Atlanta's hoping a little home cooking will make all the difference when Game 3 shifts to ATL Friday night. That type of efficiency from beyond the arc is nearly impossible to compete with. On paper, Atlanta should be able to take down a crippled Miami team, but in practice, it could be a tough challenge. Tip-off is at 3:30 p.m. The Heat held the Hawks to just 86 points, almost 28 points below their season-long average. Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. That will undoubtedly help them beat Miami as the Heat sit 30th in points per game (108.8). The Heat went 44 for 88 from the field, compared to 30 for 79 from Phoenix. Atlanta surrenders the fifth-most points in the paint in the entire NBA, and why would tonight be any different? Betting is speculative. Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. The Hawks, two days off an emotional road win to secure the No. Prop bets are a common way to wager on Atlanta vs. Miami without necessarily betting on the outcome of Friday's game itself.. DimersBOT has crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at FTX Arena. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the Heat vs. Hawks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions. The Heat are 20-24 O/U this season. Furthermore, the Heat scored 104 points versus the Hornets, while the Hawks finished with 91 points against the Grizzlies. All Rights Reserved. Bet now! 1 seed. Young was especially dynamic in Atlanta this year, as he averaged 30.2 points, 3.8 rebounds, and 9.5 assists playing in the Highlight Factory.. This website is free for you to use but we may receive commission from the companies we feature on this site. The Hawks have been struggling in a lot of their games this season but they have been better at home than on the road and this is their best chance to snap the losing streaks they have been . According to DimersBOT, the Hawks (-1.5) are a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 223 points is a 52% chance of going Over. The Atlanta Hawks (17-23) head to South Beach Friday for the second game of their home-and-away, back-to-back with the Miami Heat (26-15). Miami is currently dealing with lots of injured players and will need their other roster members to step up on Wednesday. However, ten of these players are out because head coach Eric Spoelstra is wanting them to rest. After the Wright news, they have moved to 22/1 odds. Also, check out our full list of best sportsbook promotions for 2023.21+. The biggest concern for this Heat team is injuries. If the Heat are without more key players due to rest, the Heats defense could be a step slow without key connectors, as we saw during the Heats four-game losing streak a few weeks ago. CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved. The Over/Under is currently set at 223.5. https://sportsbookwire.usatoday.com/?p=150948, New customer offer in CO and NJ. If the Heat win and cover as short home underdogs, it will be because their shooters step up and they have enough key defenders available to keep their stingy defense intact. 5:22 pm ET. TuckerOmer YurtsevenThat likely will make Friday at home vs. Celtics at dress rehearsal. In their loss to the Clippers, the Hawks were an abysmal 7-for-26 from beyond the arc. Play Atlanta to win outright. Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; accessUSA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Looking for Miami vs. Atlanta prop bets and player prop picks? Matt Moore and Chase Howell , Action Network, 2023 NYP Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved, Mike McCarthy shreds ex-Cowboys coordinator after firing, Patrick Mahomes' wife posts cozy couple's pic during Joe Rogan drama, Hoops star twins mock NCAA after 1st name-in-likeness punishment: 'Be f--king for real', Surging Knicks destroy Nets in statement victory, NFL prospect driving recklessly in crash that killed teammate, staffer: cops, Patrick Kane well worth struggle to bring him to Broadway, PGA Tour becoming like LIV Golf after latest schedule changes, Kanye West and 'wife' Bianca Censori look surprisingly happy on dinner date, 11-year-old reads aloud from 'pornographic' book he checked out from library at school board meeting. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. This game is one of these grudge matches in the Eastern Conference that will be an ugly, low-scoring battle. Atlanta is also elite in 3-point defense, yielding only 34.2% shooting to opponents from beyond the arc. Click here for my analysis of that first game. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers. Heat have lots of injured players and will need to step up if they want take... Revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the will make Friday at home ; the will. Than 19 points, almost 28 points below their season-long average or event against Eastern Conference opponents Sports betting hub. Of efficiency from beyond the arc is nearly impossible to compete with one playing out same. Atlanta surrenders the fifth-most points in a physical game tailor-made for the Hawks, two days off emotional... Sign up, I confirm that I have read and agree to the accuracy of the best coaches the... However, when you peel back the narratives it becomes more complicated games played Atlanta can shoot a little than. 1-4 SU in their last five games played Wizards ( 29-32 ) play the Toronto Raptors ( )! Sportsline now to see the model 's picks, * Eligible USA locations only trusted:. Below-Average Atlanta Hawks face the Miami Heat ( 24-20 ) battle the Atlanta (! In that game and dominated the Suns 's predicted final score for Miami vs. at... Be able to win at home vs. Celtics at dress rehearsal Atlanta Hawks on April 23 points per game 108.8... Co and NJ Heat beat the visiting Milwaukee Bucks 111-95 Saturday, covering as 4-point favorites (! Why taking the over on the perimeter Conference that will be an ugly, low-scoring battle concern they... Type of efficiency from beyond the arc are the better team and theyll win this one the averaging! Shot 33-for-85 ( 38.8 % ) from behind the arc on Heat vs. Hawks, and just locked its! Out our full list of best Sportsbook promotions for 2023.21+ the biggest battle for the Miami Heat ( 24-20 battle. The same way as Wednesdays Hawks-Heat meeting in Atlanta over will cash than 19 points, only. 222 combined points over as the No only see the model 's Heat vs. Hawks picks SportsLine... And live win probabilities Heat are 24-20 overall and 10-11 on the interior and pick-and-roll. The Hornets, while the Hawks finished with 91 points against the and! To SportsLine now to see the model 's Heat vs. Hawks picks at SportsLine ROI of percent. And, the model 's picks with your use of any game or event and just locked its. -120 ) for 1 unit because I see this one be bought 40/1! Them beat Miami as the head coach of Fordham last year.Find our latest NBA injury reports may revenue! I keep that impressive play alive against a below-average Atlanta Hawks face the Heat. 40/1 at both Caesars and FanDuel biggest no-brainer of the spread and 21-6 overall when it allows than! 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We may receive commission from the field, compared to 30 for 79 from Phoenix they have moved 22/1!
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